Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.192234 1.456249 1.798610 2.291006 3.010734 4.079759 5.916915
2025-11-16 0.843587 1.124487 1.544750 2.272223 3.643232 6.558336 15.501700
2025-11-23 0.657973 0.921188 1.349431 2.184347 4.077719 9.603690 45.451241
2025-11-30 0.569939 0.831518 1.289155 2.285308 5.018962 16.914201 556.209207
2025-12-07 0.498374 0.747984 1.207582 2.293543 5.779169 28.700765 NaN
2025-12-14 0.438446 0.670893 1.114379 2.226467 6.262829 46.209569 NaN
2025-12-21 0.395017 0.614969 1.048345 2.197291 6.915109 86.568584 NaN
2025-12-28 0.376480 0.601182 1.065749 2.408968 9.222038 576.326512 NaN
2026-01-04 0.353901 0.575586 1.050419 2.517928 11.442734 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.328428 0.540425 1.004973 2.505768 12.920559 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.302912 0.501961 0.944228 2.412922 13.533983 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.287019 0.481298 0.923243 2.462658 16.173810 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.275091 0.467865 0.919017 2.586695 21.192732 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.259846 0.445694 0.888173 2.585364 24.717634 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.243060 0.418527 0.839611 2.482954 25.653654 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.234892 0.409303 0.838205 2.605844 35.276935 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.224285 0.393578 0.816003 2.615969 42.769197 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.212339 0.373812 0.779421 2.534702 45.570243 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.202621 0.358309 0.753072 2.499419 51.909548 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.200281 0.359360 0.775282 2.756408 103.259331 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.195162 0.353465 0.775689 2.889551 185.054167 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.187655 0.341321 0.754944 2.874663 251.961307 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.178996 0.325854 0.721890 2.761230 259.866381 NaN NaN